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Don’t call it a rally, but Dallas office numbers continue to swell

Modest year-over-year growth defined local office performance in June.

The Dallas area continues to outperform the nationwide baseline for return-to-office numbers, according to data from Placer.ai.

Placer.ai puts the nationwide average for visits to office buildings at 29.4% below pre-pandemic levels when compared with June 2019. Dallas’ figure comes in at 24.1% below using data from June 2024.

Placer.ai, which specializes in analyzing location and foot traffic data, honed in on about 1,000 commercial office buildings for its Nationwide Office Building Index.

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Return-to-office mandates tied to Wall Street’s financial juggernauts continue to boost numbers in New York, while the Miami area leads the post-pandemic office recovery market.

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Year-over-year, Dallas saw modest growth in return-to-office numbers for the month of June, with 1.8%.

The number is a fraction of the nationwide average gains of 5.3%, and markedly less than the highs of Boston and Atlanta at 10.3% and 10% respectively.

Placer.ai noted that Boston and Atlanta’s June numbers accounted for each cities’ busiest in-office months since the pandemic.

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An office market report from commercial real estate services firm Avison Young said that available office space in Dallas-Fort Worth remained unchanged at the end of the second quarter at 29.4% after topping out last quarter.

While the figure is elevated, good economic times typically see available office space average of about 23%, the report said.

Avison Young noted demand for office space tends to follow office job growth.

“[The Bureau of Labor Statistics’] recent revisions has resulted in office-related job growth that look disconnected from commercial real estate fundamentals,” the report said. “Presently, office job growth exceeds the longer-term average by 30%, yet the region has seen 6.3 [million square feet] of negative absorption since 2020.”

The finding may indicate that the hybrid work environment will make predicting the office space environment difficult into the foreseeable future.

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